Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo Sabres 10/14/11 Scoring Chances

It’s already been stated countless times, but special teams (and Cam Ward) were the reason Carolina won yesterday’s game against the Sabres. When you score two of your goals shorthanded and one on the powerplay that is generally the case. The scoring chance data reflects the same thing, but a lot more extreme than I had thought. Carolina was outchanced 13-8 at even strength and 20-16 overall, which isn’t as bad as I expected it to be, but what really sticks out to me is the five shorthanded chances Carolina had. There are games where we didn’t create that many on the powerplay. Buffalo had a very high-risk game plan with how often their defensemen pinched and jumped into the play with the man advantage and it probably cost them the game. Penalties were getting Carolina into trouble last week and they found ways to get themselves out of it last night. Let’s not make a habit out of it, though. 

More after the jump.

Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres 10/14/11 Scoring Chances

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 6 8 3 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2 4 9 2 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0
3 6 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0
Totals 16 20 8 13 3 1 0 0 5 6 0 0

Five shorthanded chances for the Canes, but they allowed six when down a man as well, which is expected against this Sabres powerplay. This does describe the game pretty well, though. There was a lot of action in the first period (14 total chances between both teams) but it was the Sabres who had the upper-hand throughout at even strength. Those two shorthanded tallies were huge for the Canes at the time because they were getting outplayed so badly and were taking too many penalties. Then the Canes put the Sabres on lockdown for the third period and came so close to finishing the game out in that fashion, but a bad bounce happened. I’m happy with the final result, though.

Individual Scoring Chances

# Player EV PP SH
4 Jamie McBain 13:35 3 2 3:40 2 0 1:25 2 1
5 Bryan Allen 15:27 2 6 0:20 0 0 5:04 3 2
6 Tim Gleason 14:50 2 5 0:32 0 1 6:46 4 5
12 Eric Staal 12:05 4 5 4:33 1 1 2:11 1 0
13 Anthony Stewart 5:21 0 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
15 Tuomo Ruutu 11:19 3 4 3:35 2 0 0:00 0 0
16 Brandon Sutter 12:18 1 4 0:13 0 0 5:10 2 3
19 Jiri Tlusty 10:00 1 2 0:26 0 0 2:33 2 3
22 Zac Dalpe 3:36 0 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
23 Alexei Ponikarovsky 12:21 3 4 3:54 2 1 1:52 1 0
25 Joni Pitkanen 14:39 3 5 4:33 1 1 4:53 1 2
30 Cam Ward 40:26 8 13 8:21 3 1 11:13 5 6
36 Jussi Jokinen 11:47 2 3 4:33 1 1 0:52 0 0
37 Tim Brent 4:35 1 2 0:00 0 0 3:37 2 3
39 Patrick Dwyer 12:33 1 4 0:13 0 0 5:49 2 3
44 Jay Harrison 10:52 2 4 3:34 2 0 3:54 0 2
51 Tomas Kaberle 11:38 4 5 4:09 1 0 0:24 0 0
53 Jeff Skinner 11:44 4 3 3:55 1 0 0:00 0 0
59 Chad LaRose 10:43 3 3 3:35 2 0 0:22 0 0

Best EV Forward: Jeff Skinner +1

Worst EV Forwards: Brandon Sutter, Patrick Dwyer -3

Best EV Defenseman: Jamie McBain +1

Worst EV Defenseman: Bryan Allen -4

If this doesn’t show how much Buffalo controlled the game at even strength then I don’t know what does. I know a lot of people aren’t going to like seeing Allen have such a low rating but he was on ice for a lot of chances against last night. He was put into a defensive role against a tough line this is what usually happens. Allen did better than most on the penalty kill, though and that counts for a lot in my book. Same can be said for both Sutter and Dwyer. Neither did a lot at even strength but they were studs on the penalty kill last night.

Skinner was great and had one of his stronger games when playing 5-on-5. Think Maurice changing up the lines had a little to do with that. Staal’s line was also creating offense but they were giving it back at the other end.

Head-to-Head at even strength

Click to enlarge

Match-ups are a bit weird because both coaches were jumbling around their lines and defense pairings. The Stafford-Roy-Gerbe line did some work against our top line while the latter group managed to get to the Sabres’ first line a little bit. Tyler Myers and Robin Regehr actually struggled in this game, much to my surprise. Maurice’s goal by separating Staal and Skinner was to get one of them away from Myers and Skinner. Skinner ended up being matched up with Myers and he actually played very well against him. Makes his performance last night even more impressive.

Team Period Time Note CAR Opponent
BUF 1 18:33 Leino 15 23 30 36 44 51 3 10 22 23 30 63 5v5
CAR 1 17:26 LaRose 4 12 25 30 53 59 24 26 29 30 57 72 5v5
CAR 1 15:50 LaRose tipped 4 15 23 30 44 59 10 28 30 36 57 5v4
BUF 1 14:54 Boyes backhander 6 16 19 30 39 44 22 23 24 30 57 63 5v5
BUF 1 13:02 Vanek (possibly tipped in by Roy) – GOAL 12 25 30 36 51 3 9 26 30 44 4v4
CAR 1 11:40 Harrison (deflected in front) – GOAL 4 15 23 30 44 59 9 10 21 24 30 5v4
BUF 1 9:59 Roy GOAL on rebound 12 30 44 51 53 59 3 9 10 21 30 42 5v5
BUF 1 7:17 Ennis 5 30 37 51 53 59 22 23 24 30 57 63 5v5
CAR 1 7:08 LaRose 5 30 37 51 53 59 10 22 23 30 57 63 5v5
BUF 1 6:24 Stafford 5 6 12 15 23 30 3 9 17 21 30 42 5v5
BUF 1 4:49 Pominville 4 13 22 25 30 37 3 10 26 29 30 72 5v5
CAR 1 2:22 Dwyer 16 19 30 39 44 51 9 17 21 30 42 44 5v5
BUF 1 1:02 Vanek 5 6 30 36 53 59 3 10 26 29 30 72 5v5
CAR 1 0:14 Sutter – GOAL 4 6 16 30 39 10 17 21 26 30 72 4v5
BUF 2 19:31 Vanek 6 16 25 30 39 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
BUF 2 19:14 Ehrhoff 6 19 30 37 44 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
BUF 2 18:59 Pominville 4 5 12 23 25 30 10 17 26 29 30 72 5v5
CAR 2 18:21 Skinner 15 30 36 44 51 53 10 22 23 24 30 63 5v5
BUF 2 13:26 Pominville 5 6 19 30 37 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
CAR 2 13:03 Tlusty 5 6 19 30 37 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
CAR 2 13:01 Brent – GOAL on rebound 5 6 19 30 37 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
CAR 2 11:37 Staal stuff attempt 4 12 23 30 51 9 21 24 30 57 4v4
BUF 2 10:15 Leino 5 6 16 30 39 3 10 23 30 63 4v4
BUF 2 9:24 Gaustad 5 6 15 16 30 39 3 10 28 30 36 42 5v5
BUF 2 3:31 Banek slapshot 16 19 25 30 39 51 17 26 29 30 44 72 5v5
BUF 2 1:26 Gerbe 6 16 25 30 39 3 9 21 30 42 57 4v5
BUF 2 0:27 Adam 4 19 30 37 44 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
CAR 3 16:02 Staal wrap 5 6 12 15 23 30 3 10 26 29 30 72 5v5
CAR 3 13:20 McBain 4 25 30 36 53 59 3 8 10 28 30 36 5v5
CAR 3 10:33 Sutter 4 16 25 30 39 3 9 21 30 42 57 4v5
BUF 3 9:28 Vanek 5 6 16 30 39 10 17 26 29 30 72 4v5
CAR 3 7:55 Staal 5 6 12 23 30 3 9 21 30 57 63 4v5
CAR 3 6:32 Ruutu 6 12 15 23 25 30 10 26 29 30 57 72 5v5
BUF 3 2:21 Stafford – GOAL 12 15 23 25 30 44 9 17 21 30 42 57 5v5
CAR 3 1:25 Skinner – GOAL 12 25 30 36 51 53 24 28 30 36 57 5v4
BUF 3 0:13 Vanek 6 12 23 25 30 36 9 26 29 44 57 5v4
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