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Game 19 Inside the Numbers: Penguins at Hurricanes

Last night's 4-1 win over the Penguins is one of those games that fans won't want to nit-pick at because it was such a strong performance by the entire team. The top two lines played great, Cam ward played great, the PK was the strongest it's been all season and the Canes did an excellent job of containing the Penguins at even strength. That all led to an impressive win and a huge confidence boost for this team head into the weekend series against Florida. Playing well at even strength is usually what wins games and the Hurricanes did that last night, so there isn't much to complain about overall. The only real problem that can be drawn out from last night's win is that the Hurricanes offense was heavily relient on their top players, meaning they were the only ones who produced and almost nobody else pitched in.

We'll discuss this and more after the jump.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes 2/28/13

Period Total EV 5v4 5v3 4v5 3v5
1 6 4 5 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 6 7 5 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
3 2 3 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 14 14 11 12 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

It was actually a fairly even game last night despite the Hurricanes winning by three goals. The Canes may have had a chance to run away with the chance battle, but they opted to play more conservative with a big lead instead of trying to add on more, which was probably the right choice. They weren't just sitting back and letting the Penguins do whatever they wanted, though as they held them to only three total scoring chances in the third period. Considering how potent the Penguins offense can be, I think the Canes defense did a fantastic job at limiting Pittsburgh's scoring opportunities. The numbers could have been much uglier in a three-goal game.

Hurricanes Individual Numbers

# Player EV PP SH Net Zone Starts
4 Jamie McBain 14:15 1 5 4:04 0 0 0:13 0 0 -3
6 Tim Gleason 13:48 3 3 0:01 0 0 4:32 0 0 2
11 Jordan Staal 13:19 5 2 4:13 0 0 3:55 0 0 -2
12 Eric Staal 13:07 6 5 5:00 3 0 1:53 0 0 3
19 Jiri Tlusty 12:26 5 3 4:14 3 0 0:47 0 0 3
20 Riley Nash 11:56 0 3 0:06 0 0 0:04 0 0 -1
21 Drayson Bowman 7:59 1 3 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0 1
24 Bobby Sanguinetti 14:12 2 4 0:00 0 0 3:43 0 0 -2
27 Justin Faulk 15:11 7 4 3:24 1 0 4:20 0 2 1
28 Alexander Semin 13:51 6 4 5:19 3 0 0:34 0 0 2
29 Tim Wallace 6:51 0 1 0:06 0 0 3:27 0 2 -1
30 Cam Ward  42:58 11 12 8:31 3 0 8:31 0 2  
36 Jussi Jokinen  9:25 0 4 4:11 0 0 2:35 0 2 -1
37 Tim Brent 4:02 0 1 3:35 2 0 0:09 0 0 0
39 Patrick Dwyer  11:14 1 4 0:23 0 0 3:28 0 0 -1
44 Jay Harrison  15:13 7 6 0:06 0 0 2:02 0 2 1
53 Jeff Skinner 10:47 5 2 3:08 0 0 0:00 0 0 -2
59 Chad LaRose  10:18 4 2 4:11 3 0 0:10 0 0 -2
77 Joe Corvo 13:27 2 2 0:34 0 0 2:12 0 0 1

Best EV Forwards: Jordan Staal & Jeff Skinner +3

Worst EV Forward: Jussi Jokinen -4

Best EV Defenseman: Justtin Faulk +3

Worst EV Defenseman: Jamie McBain -4

The Hurricanes top two lines won their matchups and got the job done last night but nobody else did. Drayson Bowman and Patrick Dwyer were the only bottom-sixers to be on-ice for a scoring chance and they each came when they were spending time with one of the top-six lines. Dwyer's just happened to result in a goal. There are a couple ways you can look at this. The optimist in me is glad that the Canes best players rose to the occasion and played great while the skeptic in me is worried that the depth forwards did basically nothing. Perhaps Muller is onto something by not keeping Dwyer in the top-six full-time?

The defense corps had a similar performance with Faulk and Harrison winning their matchups and the third pairing getting destroyed by Pittsburgh's depth forwards. This didn't come back to haunt the Hurricanes, though because Muller made sure that either one of Faulk or Gleason was out against Sidney Crosby's line while the third pairing was assigned Pittsburgh's depth lines. Faulk did a terrific job of containing Crosby's line, allowing only four scoring chances against when he was on the ice and playing his shadow the entire time.

Penguins Individual Numbers

# Player EV PP SH Net Zone Starts
2 Matt Niskanen 16:06 4 8 2:07 0 0 1:57 0 0 2
5 Deryk Engelland 8:35 1 2 0:00 0 0 4:05 0 0 2
7 Paul Martin 10:50 4 4 5:12 2 0 2:26 0 1 -3
9 Pascal Dupuis 14:38 3 4 0:13 0 0 3:02 0 0 0
10 Tanner Glass 8:08 0 2 0:00 0 0 1:18 0 1 0
14 Chris Kunitz 13:37 3 3 5:19 2 0 0:01 0 0 -1
15 Dustin Jeffrey 10:57 2 0 1:09 0 0 0:00 0 0 3
16 Brandon Sutter 8:54 5 3 3:02 0 0 2:53 0 1 -2
18 James Neal 11:23 4 4 5:08 2 0 0:00 0 0 -2
19 Beau Bennett 7:41 3 3 3:13 0 0 0:00 0 0 1
24 Matt Cooke 10:23 4 2 0:10 0 0 3:36 0 1 2
27 Craig Adams 6:11 0 3 0:00 0 0 4:41 0 3 0
29 Marc-Andre Fleury  41:32 12 11 8:31 2 0 8:31 0 3  
41 Robert Bortuzzo 10:47 3 2 0:24 0 0 1:40 0 1 1
44 Brooks Orpik 19:01 5 1 0:03 0 0 4:53 0 3 2
46 Joe Vitale 8:14 0 2 0:13 0 0 0:00 0 0 0
48 Tyler Kennedy 11:09 6 1 2:15 0 0 0:00 0 0 0
58 Kris Letang 19:20 6 5 8:04 2 0 2:01 0 1 -3
87 Sidney Crosby  16:57 5 6 6:03 2 0 1:31 0 0 -1

Best EV Forward: Tyler Kennedy +5

Worst EV Forward: Craig Adams -3

Best EV Defenseman: Brooks Orpik +4

Worst EV Defenseman: Matt Niskanen -4

Pittsburgh's first line was held in check while their second and third lines were able to some damage against the Hurricanes depth players. Not having the last change prevented Bylsma from getting Sutter out against Eric Staal's line like I thought he would, so that may have been a problem for him.

Head-to-Head at Five-on-Five

The only time Crosby's line had any success is when they were out against Carolina's third line and even then they stayed somewhat quiet on the scoresheet. Muller was also able to get a favorable matchup by getting Jordan Staal on ice against Pittsburgh's fourth line which led to Jeff Skinner's goal and they also did some damage to the Niskanen/Letang pairing. The only line the Cane had trouble with all night was Kennedy-Jeffrey-Cooke and most of their offense came against the Canes 2nd and 3rd defense pairing.

Period Team Time Player CAR OPP Strength
1 PIT 17:31 Bennett 53 36 4 44 30   48 19 5 7 29   4v4
1 PIT 16:17 Cooke 20 39 21 4 24 30 48 87 24 41 44 29 5v5
1 CAR 15:12 Bowman 11 59 21 24 44 30 16 19 9 2 58 29 5v5
1 CAR 15:01 Skinner 11 53 59 27 44 30 16 19 9 2 58 29 5v5
1 CAR 15:00 LaRose 11 53 59 27 44 30 16 19 9 2 58 29 5v5
1 PIT 14:30 Bennett 11 53 59 6 77 30 16 19 9 7 44 29 5v5
1 CAR 6:56 Semin 12 19 28 27 44 30 87 14 18 2 44 29 5v5
1 PIT 6:46 Kunitz – GOAL 12 19 28 27 44 30 87 14 18 2 41 29 5v5
1 CAR 4:52 Tlusty 12 19 37 28 59 30 27 24 7 44 29   5v4
1 CAR 0:24 E. Staal – GOAL 12 19 28 6 77 30 87 27 24 5 58 29 5v5
2 PIT 17:38 Sutter 12 19 28 4 24 30 16 48 19 41 44 29 5v5
2 CAR 16:04 LaRose 11 53 59 4 24 30 46 27 10 2 5 29 5v5
2 CAR 15:58 E. Staal 12 19 28 6 27 30 87 14 18 2 7 29 5v5
2 CAR 15:57 Tlusty – GOAL 12 19 28 6 27 30 87 14 18 2 7 29 5v5
2 CAR 14:11 Skinner – GOAL 11 53 39 44 77 30 46 27 10 7 41 29 5v5
2 PIT 12:17 Cooke 37 29 21 4 24 30 16 48 24 2 58 29 5v5
2 PIT 11:16 Neal  20 39 36 27 44 30 87 14 18 2 58 29 5v5
2 PIT 10:01 Dupuis 11 59 4 24 30   16 9 7 58 29   4v4
2 PIT 6:07 Jeffrey 12 28 36 44 6 30 15 48 24 7 44 29 5v5
2 PIT 4:51 Kunitz 29 36 27 44 30   87 14 18 7 58 29 4v5
2 PIT 4:48 Neal 29 36 27 44 30   87 14 18 7 58 29 4v5
2 CAR 3:05 Semin 12 19 37 28 59 30 27 10 41 44 29   5v4
2 CAR 0:11 Tlusty – GOAL 12 19 28 27 44 30 87 9 18 7 41 29 5v5
3 CAR 17:20 Semin 12 19 28 59 27 30 16 27 44 58 29   5v4
3 PIT 4:07 Crosby 12 39 36 27 44 30 87 14 18 44 58 29 5v5
3 CAR 2:29 Skinner 12 53 28 27 44 30 48 87 24 2 58 29 5v5
3 PIT 1:50 Neal 12 19 28 27 44 30 48 87 24 2 58 29 5v5
3 PIT 1:26 Kennedy 20 39 21 6 77 30 15 16 48 9 58 29 5v5

 

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