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Game 30 By the Numbers: Devils at Hurricanes

If you're willing to dig deep and find out what is wrong with the Carolina Hurricanes right now then I commend you because I've tried to break things down several times and have yet to come to an answer.  I was willing to write off the Tampa Bay game as a bad night but in the last three games, we've seen this team play well for maybe one period and then let the opponents dictate the play for the rest of the game. The most frustrating thing about it is that the Hurricanes haven't just "lost a step" after first periods, they get completely run over. This was the case against the Rangers on Monday night and last night in their 4-1 loss to the Devils. 

The Hurricanes started off strong despite falling behind 1-0 on a fluke goal and then went on a complete free fall after the first period. Recording only seven total shots in four minutes of play and only three scoring chances isn't going to win you a ton of games and neither is playing only 20 minutes of good hockey.

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes 3/21/13

Period Total EV 5v4 5v3 4v5 3v5
1 9 2 6 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2 0 8 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 4 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
Totals 12 14 8 12 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 0

This illustrates what I said in the introduction. The Hurricanes came out with a lot of jump, executed their game plan well and had a big territorial advantage over the Devils in the first period. Then it all craters and they produced only three combined chances in 40 minutes of play. Blame the defense and the goaltending all you want, but this kind of offensive production simply is not going to get it done. The Devils adjusted well to the Hurricanes forecheck and the Canes just abandoned what was working so well for them in the first period. They reverted to dumping-and-chasing numerous times, which is useless against Brodeur, and missing the net completely whenever they got in position to create scoring chances. The Devils completely outworked them the rest of the way and coasted to an easy 4-1 win. We all know that this team can do better, which makes performances like this even more frustrating than usual.

Hurricanes Individual Scoring Chances

# Player EV PP SH
4 Jamie McBain  24:10 4 5 0:00 0 0 0:03 0 0
6 Tim Gleason 19:20 3 4 0:00 0 0 2:13 1 1
11 Jordan Staal  13:57 2 5 1:48 2 0 1:14 1 0
12 Eric Staal 16:00 1 5 2:07 2 0 0:50 0 0
15 Tuomo Ruutu 14:20 1 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
18 Adam Hall 10:25 1 1 0:00 0 0 1:08 0 1
19 Jiri Tlusty 15:40 4 2 0:54 1 0 0:24 0 0
20 Riley Nash 14:12 4 4 0:54 1 0 0:12 0 1
21 Drayson Bowman  14:12 1 4 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
24 Bobby Sanguinetti 11:57 0 4 0:00 0 0 0:44 0 1
25 Joni Pitkanen  22:30 3 4 1:48 2 0 1:23 0 1
28 Alexander Semin 17:49 3 5 1:48 2 0 1:05 0 0
31 Dan Ellis  52:48 8 12  2:42 3 0 3:39 1 2
35 Justin Peters 0:51 0 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
36 Jussi Jokinen 10:35 3 5 0:54 1 0 0:00 0 0
37 Tim Brent  11:25 2 0 0:35 1 0 0:44 0 1
39 Patrick Dwyer 13:44 1 1 0:00 0 0 1:17 1 0
44 Jay Harrison 17:46 4 5 0:54 1 0 2:16 1 1
53 Jeff Skinner 12:48 3 1 1:48 2 0 0:24 0 1
73 Brett Bellemore  11:46 0 2 0:00 0 0 0:39 0 0

Best EV Forwards: Jiri Tlusty, Tim Brent & Jeff Skinner +2
 
Worst EV Forward: Eric Staal -4

Best EV Defensemen: Jamie McBain, Tim Gleason, Joni Pitkanen, Jay Harrison -1

Worst EV Defenseman: Bobby Sanguinetti -4

Jeff Skinner was really the only Carolina forward who played a great game last night. He was responsible for five of the 12 scoring chances and all five he was on-ice for. Jiri Tlusty also played a solid game despite switching lines after the third period. You could argue that he gave Riley Nash's line a bit of a spark since he helped create a few chances when he was placed there.

Carolina's inability to create scoring chances last night all relates to their top players having bad games. They were able to gain the zone numerous times but whenever they had a chance to produce offense, their shots either missed the net or they were trying to be too fancy and had their passes broken up. Muller tried to go front-heavy by putting the Staals on a line with Alex Semin and it did not work out at all. That line produced no scoring chances when they were together and gave up three in their own end. One period isn't enough to close the book on an experiment, but I won't be complaining if they aren't on the same line again for while. 

This was a bad night for the entire defense corps. Jamie McBain was trusted with a ton of minutes at even strength with Justin Faulk out of the lineup and he was on-ice for a team-high five chances against. His two-way play wasn't great but it was stronger than the majority of the defense corps as most of the blue-liners struggled to create offense. The defense were the ones dumping pucks in on over 70% of their zone entries, which explains why they weren't able to create much offense. That style of play does not work against New Jersey, especially when you're playing from behind.

Devils Individual Scoring Chances

# Player EV PP SH
2 Marek Zidlicky 19:22 4 4 2:44 0 1 0:00 0 0
5 Adam Larsson 16:35 4 4 0:00 0 0 0:47 0 1
6 Andy Greene 20:38 6 4 0:00 0 0 0:56 0 1
10 Peter Harrold 17:59 4 2 0:55 2 0 0:00 0 0
11 Stephen Gionta 15:32 4 2 0:03 0 0 0:56 0 1
14 Adam Henrique 13:40 2 5 2:23 1 1 0:53 0 1
15 Tim Sestito 8:10 1 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
16 Harri Pesonen 8:21 2 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
17 Ilya Kovalchuk 15:14 3 5 3:36 2 1 0:57 0 1
18 Steve Bernier 14:21 4 0 1:08 1 0 0:00 0 0
19 Travis Zajac 16:42 3 1 1:07 1 0 1:02 0 1
20 Ryan Carter 16:07 4 2 0:03 0 0 0:56 0 1
21 Andrei Loktionov  12:44 4 4 1:13 1 0 0:00 0 0
23 David Clarkson 14:24 2 0 2:31 1 1 0:00 0 0
24 Bryce Salvador 19:57 4 0 0:03 0 0 1:46 0 2
25 Tom Kostopoulos 8:49 2 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
26 Patrik Elias 14:30 3 0 2:29 1 1 0:49 0 1
28 Anton Volchenkov  13:10 2 4 0:00 0 0 1:46 0 2
30 Martin Brodeur  53:39 12 8 3:39 2 1 2:42 0 0

Best EV Forward: Steve Bernier +4

Worst EV Forward: Adam Henrique -3

Best EV Defenseman: Bryce Salvador +4

Worst EV Defenseman: Anton Volchenkov -3

Muller tried to give the first line an advantage by putting them out against the Devils third line numerous times but they ended up losing that matchup. Making things worse, Elias' line also took care of the Staal line at even strength, which was the matchup DeBoer wanted and it paved the way for the Devils getting an easy victory. You'd think the Hurricanes would be able to take advantage of a favorable matchup against Bryce Salvador and Marek Zidlicky but that wasn't happening either. Just a terrible performance by the guys who are supposed to be Carolina's best players.

Head-to-Head at Five-on-Five

Carolin'a top line wasn't able to create much offense against the Devils third line, but that trio actually did mos tof their damage against the Jokinen-Nash-Bowman line, which has had a rough few games. The interesting thing here is that the Hurricanes were able to contain Kovalchuk's line for most of the game but the rest of the Devils forward corps had their way with them. That's what happens when you have only two or three forwards creating most of your offense.

Period Team Time Player CAR OPP Strength
1 NJ 19:20 Elias 12 19 28 6 44 31 19 23 26 5 6 30 5v5
1 CAR 18:45 E. Staal 12 19 28 25 44 31 14 19 17 5 6 30 5v5
1 CAR 17:28 Jokinen 20 21 36 4 25 3 15 16 25 5 6 30 5v5
1 CAR 16:12 Dwyer 11 39 6 44 31   14 23 17 26 2 30 4v5
1 CAR 15:48 Skinner 11 12 53 28 25 31 14 17 24 28 30   5v4
1 CAR 14:11 Jokinen 19 20 37 36 44 31 20 11 5 6 30   5v4
1 CAR 14:01 Nash 19 20 37 36 44 31 20 11 2 5 6 30 5v5
1 CAR 13:53 Harrison 19 20 37 36 44 31 20 11 2 5 6 30 5v5
1 CAR 12:53 Skinner 11 53 28 4 6 31 14 21 17 2 28 30 5v5
1 CAR 12:52 Skinner 11 53 28 4 6 31 14 21 17 2 28 30 5v5
1 NJ 9:19 Pesonen 20 21 36 4 25 31 16 21 25 10 28 30 5v5
2 NJ 18:36 Kovalchuk 11 19 28 6 44 31 14 21 17 2 24 30 5v5
2 NJ 13:41 Bernier 20 21 36 4 25 31 20 11 18 10 28 30 5v5
2 NJ 9:25 Zidlicky 20 21 36 24 73 31 20 11 18 2 24 30 5v5
2 NJ 9:24 Carter 20 21 36 24 73 31 20 11 18 2 24 30 5v5
2 NJ 7:08 Henrique – GOAL 11 53 39 6 44 31 14 21 17 5 6 30 5v5
2 NJ 6:23 Harrold – GOAL 12 28 24 44 31   19 26 6 10 30   4v4
2 NJ 5:30 Kovalchuk 15 36 4 25 31   11 17 5 6 30   4v4
2 NJ 0:07 Carter 11 12 18 4 25 31 20 21 18 6 10 30 5v5
3 NJ 16:32 Kovalchuk 37 18 24 25 31   14 23 17 26 10 30 4v5
3 NJ 15:12 Sestito 11 12 28 6 24 31 15 16 25 5 6 30 5v5
3 CAR 10:00 Tlusty 19 20 39 4 25 31 14 21 17 10 28 30 5v5
3 CAR 9:05 Skinner 11 12 53 28 25 31 1 26 24 28 30   5v4
3 CAR 6:25 Skinner 53 15 18 6 44 31 14 21 17 10 28 30 5v5
3 NJ 3:06 Loktionov – GOAL 20 53 6 44 31   19 21 18 17 10 30 4v5
3 NJ 2:09 Elias 11 12 28 4 44 31 19 23 26 2 24 30 5v5

 

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