Canes Flyers 110513

Game 15 By the Numbers: Flyers at Hurricanes

When looking at the schedule, I said to myself that the Hurricanes best chance to end their losing streak was either Tuesday night against Philadelphia or tonight against the New York Islanders. Both of these teams are struggling and while the Canes haven't been much better, they do match up well against them and can take advantage of them while playing at home. After those two games, the Hurricanes face a trio of tough West teams in Minnesota, Anaheim & Colorado followed by a trip to Boston, so if there was any hope that the Hurricanes would end this skid, Tuesday night or tonight would be a solid bet. Fortunately, the Hurricanes managed to get the job done two nights ago by defeating the Flyers 2-1 in overtime on the back of a huge goal by newcomer Manny Malhotra.

Carolina fans everywhere took a huge sigh of relief after that goal, as they finally saw their team win for the first time in over two weeks. There's reason to believe that this win can give the Canes some confidence and turn their season around, but they probably won't win many games if they continue to play like this. Don't get me wrong, it was an improvement over the previous five performances and the result was nice, but the process of getting there was ugly to say the very least.

Both teams looked like they were going through the motions in this game and neither showed much confidence offensively, as everything was just a bit off. The Canes were the ones who prevailed, but let's hope they can show some improvement in these next few games.

Fenwick Timeline from Extra Skater

Carolina was terrific in the third period and it was nice to see them continue to take it to the Flyers at even strength despite falling behind late. The Hurricanes did not play their best hockey in the first 40 minutes but the Flyers forecheck seemed to completely disappear in the third period and the Canes had no trouble creating offense against them. They still had a lot of trouble finishing and creating chances, but it was nice to see Carolina dictate the play after being dominated for five straight games.

Scoring Chances

Period Total 5v5 PP 5v3 SH 3v5 4v4 EN
1 6 7 4 5 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
2 5 3 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 7 2 5 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
OT 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Totals 19 12 11 9 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0

Carolina's had a bad habit of starting games slow and not waking up until they are down by 1-2 goals. This game sort of fits that model, only they didn't fall behind until late and they were the team in control during the third period. They need to work on creating more consistent chances at even strength (i.e. getting to rebounds, stop trying to be too cute in the offensive zone, getting the puck on net, etc.) but they ended up getting the better of the Flyers when all was said and done. That's mainly because of the third period, though and the Flyers looked like they ran out of gas by then.

Hurricanes Individual Scoring Chances

# Player 5v5 PP SH 4v4  
4 Andrej Sekera 18:42 3 2 0:58 1 0 3:27 0 1   0 0 1
7 Ryan Murphy 20:46 4 4 4:09 4 1 0:00 0 0   0 1 0
11 Jordan Staal 14:28 2 2 0:46 0 0 1:22 1 0   0 0 0
12 Eric Staal  17:15 3 4 4:11 5 1 0:00 0 0   0 1 -1
14 Nathan Gerbe 11:03 2 2 4:11 5 1 1:00 1 0   0 0 0
15 Tuomo Ruutu 11:51 4 0 0:46 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 0 4
16 Elias Lindholm 9:17 2 2 2:15 3 1 0:00 0 0   0 0 0
18 Radek Dvorak 11:52 1 5 0:00 0 0 3:06 0 1   0 0 -4
19 Jiri Tlusty 14:45 3 3 2:52 2 0 0:00 1 0   1 0 0
20 Riley Nash 10:43 4 0 0:10 0 0 0:29 0 0   0 0 4
21 Drayson Bowman 11:26 1 4 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 0 -3
22 Manny Malhotra 12:31 1 3 0:00 0 0 3:16 1 1   1 0 -2
27 Justin Faulk 18:22 2 2 1:00 1 0 3:24 1 1   1 0 0
28 Alexander Semin 17:07 3 1 4:07 4 1 0:00 0 0   0 1 2
39 Patrick Dwyer 12:28 4 1 0:00 0 0 0:39 0 0   0 0 3
44 Jay Harrison  15:19 4 2 0:10 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 1 2
65 Ron Hainsey 17:15 4 3 0:00 0 0 1:32 2 0   1 0 1
73 Brett Bellemore 14:01 3 5 0:00 0 0 1:29 1 0   0 0 -2
35 Justin Peters  51:50 11 9 3:38 5 1 4:29 2 1   1 1 2

Best EV Forward: Tuomo Ruutu +4

Worst EV Forward: Radek Dvorak -4

Best EV Defenseman: Jay Harrison +2

Worst EV Defenseman: Brett Bellemore -2

The third line looked rejuvinated after five very bad games and Ruutu had his best game of the year by a significant margin. He looked much stronger on the forecheck and was doing a better job of finishing his checks, something that has been missing for most of the year. Dwyer's speed is also a nice compliment for this line, as he gives them someone who can win the races to loose pucks and provide support for Ruutu & Nash along the boards.

Semin also had a nice game, producing 14 shot attempts and not allowing the Flyers to do much of anything when he was on the ice. He still looks a step off compared to last year, but he is still creating chances and this should pay dividens very soon.

Flyers Individual Scoring Chances

# Player 5v5 PP SH 4v4
5 Braydon Coburn 20:28 3 4 0:05 0 0 4:18 1 5   0 1
8 Nicklas Grossmann 18:15 1 4 0:05 0 0 3:30 1 2   0 0
10 Brayden Schenn 13:34 6 2 1:56 0 0 0:06 0 0   1 0
12 Michael Raffl 10:54 1 2 0:00 0 0 0:36 0 1   0 0
14 Sean Couturier 17:49 0 4 1:59 0 0 1:39 1 3   0 1
15 Tye McGinn 5:05 0 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 0
17 Wayne Simmonds 12:01 5 2 2:48 1 1 0:00 0 0   0 0
18 Adam Hall 8:11 0 1 0:00 0 0 2:56 0 2   0 0
19 Scott Hartnell 15:22 3 5 2:44 1 1 0:00 0 0   0 0
24 Matt Read 16:58 1 4 2:04 0 0 2:11 1 3   0 1
28 Claude Giroux 18:11 3 6 3:04 1 1 1:44 0 1   0 0
32 Mark Streit 19:15 3 4 2:12 0 0 0:06 0 0   1 1
36 Zac Rinaldo 5:10 0 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 0
40 Vincent LEcavalier 15:01 3 5 2:08 0 0 0:00 0 0   0 0
41 Andrej Meszaros 16:32 5 3 0:04 0 0 0:23 0 0   1 0
44 Kimmo Timonen 19:15 3 2 2:52 1 1 1:05 0 2   0 0
75 Hal Gill 11:29 3 5 0:00 0 0 0:52 0 1   0 0
93 Jakub Voracek  15:04 5 2 2:39 1 1 0:00 0 0   1 0
35 Steve Mason   9 11   1 1   1 5   1 1

Best EV Forwards: Brayden Schenn +4

Worst EV Forward: Sean Couturier -4

Best EV Defenseman: Andrej Meszaros +2

Worst EV Defenseman: Nicklas Grossmann -3

Normally a Canes killer, Claude Giroux was held quiet at even strength this game. He had the secondary helper on Scott Hartnell's goal but he spent most of his even strength ice time stuck in his own zone. I actually thought Jakub Voracek was their best player by the eye-test and the numbers confirm that, as his line was easily the Flyers best at even strength. The Flyers had trouble producing offense, but Voracek still looked dynamic with the puck and was able to create a few decent chances out of nothing during this game.

Head-to-Head at Five-on-Five

Muller was a little less conscious of matchups here, as Eric Staal saw a lot of minutes against both Claude Giroux & Sean Couturier. Meanwhile, Jordan was used mainly against the Flyers second and third lines. He also regularly sent out Manny Malhotra against the Flyers top line whenever they took a draw in the offensive zone, which is something we should probably get used to seeing. Eric's line along with Faulk & Sekera did a very good job against Giroux, though.

5v5 Zone Entries

Hurricanes

Player # of entries Shots generated Carry-ins Shots generated Dump-ins Shots generated Failed Entries
Sekera 2 1 1 0 1 1 0
Murphy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
J. Staal 4 2 2 2 2 0 0
E. Staal 6 4 4 4 2 0 0
Gerbe 6 2 2 2 4 0 0
Ruutu 3 1 2 1 1 0 2
Lindholm 5 5 3 4 2 1 1
Dvorak 2 0 0 0 2 0 0
Tlusty 6 3 3 3 3 0 1
Nash 6 1 1 1 5 0 1
Bowman 5 4 3 1 2 3 0
Malhotra 3 2 1 1 2 1 0
Faulk 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Semin 7 6 6 6 1 0 0
Dwyer 4 1 0 0 4 1 1
Harrison 3 1 0 0 3 1 0
Hainsey 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Bellemore 2 1 0 0 2 1 0
Team 66 34 28 25 38 9 6

Relying on dump-and-chase worked well for the Hurricanes in their first game against the Flyers. That obviously wasn't the case here, but their performance on controlled zone entries helped make up for it. Carolina was able to enter the zone with control of the puck countless times in the third period and the underlying numbers reflect how much that strategy worked.

On that note, the first line should be on the verge of a breakout very soon. Both Semin & Eric Staal are carrying the puck into the zone more often than any other forwards and they are at least getting chances off them. It's all a matter of finishing those chances now.

Flyers

Player # of entries Shots generated Carry-ins Shots generated Dump-ins Shots generated Failed Entries
Coburn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grossmann 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Schenn 4 2 1 1 3 1 0
Raffl 4 5 2 5 2 0 0
Couturier 2 0 1 0 1 0 1
McGinn 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Simmonds 3 0 0 0 3 0 0
Hall 4 1 1 0 3 1 0
Hartnell 3 2 2 1 1 1 0
Read 4 3 1 1 3 2 1
Giroux 4 3 4 3 0 0 1
Streit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rinaldo 2 0 0 0 2 0 0
Lecavalier 2 0 0 0 2 0 0
Mezsaros 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
Timonen 2 0 0 0 2 0 0
Gill 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Voracek 6 8 5 8 1 0 1
Team 41 24 17 19 24 5 8

This should help explain why the Flyers had only nine total five-on-five scoring chances last night. Over half of their controlled entries were from two players and they created no offense whenever they had to dump the puck in, which was a lot. They were also crushed in the neutral zone and had 25 fewer entries than the Hurricanes.

5v5 Zone Exits

Hurricanes

# Player Pos. Touches Carry Pass Other Turnover Icing
4 Andrej Sekera D 29 0 5 2 2 2
7 Ryan Murphy D 13 2 1 0 1 0
11 Jordan Staal C 5 0 1 0 0 0
12 Eric Staal C 10 0 3 0 2 1
14 Nathan Gerbe C 2 2 0 0 0 0
15 Tuomo Ruutu R 3 0 2 0 0 0
16 Elias Lindholm C 1 0 0 0 0 0
18 Radek Dvorak R 7 0 0 0 2 0
19 Jiri Tlusty C 6 2 1 0 1 0
20 Riley Nash C 3 0 1 0 0 0
21 Drayson Bowman L 6 0 0 0 0 0
22 Manny Malhotra C 9 1 2 0 0 0
27 Justin Faulk D 28 0 6 0 0 0
28 Alexander Semin R 4 1 2 0 0 0
39 Patrick Dwyer R 4 0 0 0 2 0
44 Jay Harrison D 7 0 3 1 1 0
65 Ron Hainsey D 15 0 3 0 2 0
73 Brett Bellemore D 15 0 3 1 1 0

Carolina's zone exits were sloppy at times, but they had a pretty efficient night overall. Every defenseman managed to advance the puck on at least 20% of their attempts and Faulk had one of his best games of the year, bailing out Sekera on a couple of occassions. The Canes also used their forwards to exit the zone a little more than usual and I wouldn't mind seeing that continue in future games since that can mask some of the defense's flaws when it comes to moving the puck. The fewer times they have to handle the puck, the less mistakes they make. Right, Jay Harrison?

Flyers

# Player Pos. Touches Carry Pass Other Turnover Icing
5 Braydon Coburn D 21 0 1 0 3 1
8 Nicklas Grossmann D 22 0 1 0 4 2
10 Brayden Schenn C 16 3 3 0 1 0
12 Michael Raffl L 10 3 0 1 1 2
14 Sean Couturier C 10 1 1 0 3 0
15 Tye McGinn L 2 0 0 0 0 0
17 Wayne Simmonds R 5 2 0 0 0 0
18 Adam Hall R 5 1 0 0 0 0
19 Scott Hartnell L 9 2 2 0 1 0
24 Matt Read R 7 0 2 0 1 0
28 Claude Giroux R 10 1 1 0 0 0
32 Mark Streit D 24 1 2 0 3 1
36 Zac Rinaldo C 3 3 0 0 0 0
40 Vincent LEcavalier C 9 1 0 0 1 1
41 Andrej Meszaros D 16 0 1 0 3 0
44 Kimmo Timonen D 26 1 2 0 2 0
75 Hal Gill D 18 0 1 0 0 0
93 Jakub Voracek R 6 2 0 0 0 0

The Flyers were kind of a mess when trying to move the puck out of their own end and no player was wose than Nicklas Grossmann, who turned the puck over four times and iced it twice. They also used their forwards to advance the play but they kind of did it out of neccessity because it seemed like no one on their defense corps could successfully make a breakout pass. When your best defenseman advances the puck only 12.5% of the time, then you know you have problems.

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