Beginning to Predict the 2011-12 Season
It's getting close to the beginning of the season which means it's about time to start predicting what will happen next season. In case you didn't know, season projections is kind of like Christmas to bloggers so this time of year is really special to people like us. There's something about going through your team's roster thoroughly and trying to predict the future that gets bloggers like me excited. The in-depth projections will be coming over the next few weeks but first, we're going to look at who on the Hurricanes roster this coming season were relatively lucky or unlucky and if they can expect it to change at all.
To do this, we're going to look at a few specific stats. First, we'll take a look at their on-ice shooting percentage to see if the team was getting lucky in terms of scoring goals. Next is on-ice save percentage, which is the team's save percentage when a certain player was on the ice. Lastly, there's PDO which is the sum of the player's on-ice shooting and save percentage and it represents the overall luck a player had in a certain year. 1000 is generally considered the mean for this stat. In other words, if a player's PDO is way above 1000, then it means that he got lucky at least one end of the ice and there's a good chance that it will eventually regress to 1000 sooner or later while a PDo of less than 100 means that a player has been receiving some poor luck and that brighter days are ahead. At least that's what applies to most players. The elite ones will likely have their PDO's remain high for a long time while truly awful players will see their PDO stay below 1000 for awhile. Let's take a look at who got the best and worst fortune for the players on the upcoming Canes roster:
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